New Hampshire results are in; Clinton edged out Obama while McCain walloped Romney. Edwards was in a distant third (and Richardson, sadly, barely registered), and Huckabee. Giuliani and Paul both finished around 10%. No other Democratic candidate polled well.
First off, I think we can safely say that Thompson is finished. I don't care how little you put into a primary; finishing in the Duncan Hunter Division means you're pretty much done. And it looks like Paul was hurt by those accusations of racism/sexism/homophobia/general asshattery that surfaced right before the vote.
Second, I'd like to caution people not to lose sight of Rudolph the Red-Faced Mayor. He'll be a factor in FL, MI, and the Feb. 4 states - I wouldn't be at all surprised to see him pull this one out. No one seems to be noticing him, and that's dangerous.
Third, a note on McCain, since he's clearly the biggest story here. I watched a bit of his victory speech, and he made a point to state that he deeply respected the Democrats and their volunteers because they are doing what they believe is best for the country, just like him. It's an obvious sentiment, but think about it - could you see any other candidate making a statement like that? Obama, maybe, but beyond that? Especially at this stage of the game, when candidates are trying to make appeals to their conservative/liberal base? This is why I'm conflicted about McCain. On the one hand, he's the most agreeable Republican - he's hard right, but he's a smart hard right, and I guess I can forgive him for the obnoxious Woodstock crack that I've been holding against him since he made it. I wouldn't complain too loudly about a McCain victory in November. On the other hand, he's about the only Republican at this point that could beat Randomly Selected Democrat in November.
Fourth, if the Dems are down to two (like it seems), I'll be backing Obama. I like Hillary, and I think she's got a brilliant mind for policy, well-thought-out proposals, the know-how to bring her ideas to fruition, and none of the ideologial rigidity that would stand in the way of progress. I would support her if she got the nod, no doubt. But I have to support Obama because a Hillary Clinton administration would probably be run with the same secrecy and cynical partisan politicking that characterized the Bush administration, and we don't need more of that. I trust Obama to be open and conciliatory to the folks across the aisle more than I trust Clinton to do the same. If her campaign can dissuade me from that notion, I'll switch, but until then, I'll support Obama.